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Bracket Breakdown: Mock Tournament 2.0

After this weekend’s action, the Mock Tournament 2.0 has a shakeup at the top, with Kentucky replacing Villanova as a No. 1 seed.

I was probably one of the few analysts to leave the Wildcats from Kentucky out of the No. 1 seed club in Mock Tournament 1.0. However, until Kentucky won at Vanderbilt Saturday night, the Wildcats had only two wins against the RPI top 50. Villanova only matched that total but had better marquee wins against West Virginia and Georgetown. Plus Villanova had six wins against the RPI top 50 compared to Kentucky’s four.

But since the last mock brackets arrived three days ago, Kentucky proved that it is one of the toughest teams in basketball by winning a war with the Commodores. Meanwhile, Villanova continued to show its weaknesses in a tight loss at Pittsburgh. Both sets of Wildcats went on the road to face a talented conference opponent that was ranked about No. 10 in the RPI, but only Kentucky’s ‘Cats emerged victorious. That moves them ahead of Villanova for a No. 1 spot.

The other noteworthy change among top seeds is Wake Forest’s departure from the top four seeds. The Demon Deacons suffered a blowout loss at North Carolina State, a team outside the RPI top 100. The Demon Deacons still have a solid RPI at No. 21 and have played the 24th toughest schedule. But they have only win against the RPI top 25, against No. 19 Xavier.

Ohio State steps into the No. 4 seed vacated by the Demon Deacons on the strength of Sunday’s win at Michigan State, the team’s fourth win against the RPI top 25. The Buckeyes now possess road wins against three of the Big Ten’s best: Purdue, Michigan State and Illinois. Wisconsin got past the Buckeyes while Evan Turner was hurt, but Ohio State got revenge in Columbus with a 60-51 win. Ohio State’s resurgence in Big Ten play compensates for a non-conference run devoid of big wins, with the best victories coming against Florida State and California.

At the other end of the brackets, here are the noteworthy changes on the bubble:

  • Charlotte drops out of the field and is the first team out.
  • Saint Mary’s move into the field.
  • Connecticut and Florida are much closer to the field than they were three days ago.
  • Cincinnati and William & Mary are one bad loss away from being on the wrong side of the bubble.

Take a look at the Mock Tournament 2.0 brackets. Any better than the first attempt? Let us know by leaving a comment.

1

Kansas

Syracuse

Purdue

Kentucky

2

Georgetown

Villanova

Duke

Kansas State

3

Wisconsin

Pittsburgh

West Virginia

Temple

4

New Mexico

Ohio State

Texas

Tennessee

5

Wake Forest

Richmond

Vanderbilt

Michigan State

6

Texas A&MXavier

Georgia Tech

Butler (Horizon)

7

BYU

Oklahoma State

Baylor

Dayton

8

Missouri

Old Dominion (CAA)

UNLV

Gonzaga (West Coast)

9

Northern Iowa (Missouri Valley)

Clemson

Illinois

Florida State

10

Virginia Tech

Rhode Island

UAB

Louisville

11

Maryland

Marquette

Cincinnati

William & Mary

12

Saint Mary’s

California (Pac-10)

Utah State (WAC)

Siena (Metro Atlantic)

13

UTEP (Conference USA)

Kent State (MAC)

Cornell (Ivy)

Oakland (Summit)

14

Murray State (Ohio Valley)

Sam Houston State (Southland)

Weber State (Big Sky)

Charleston (Southern)

15

Santa Barbara (Big West)

Jacksonville (Atlantic Sun)

North Texas (Sun Belt)

Morgan State (MEAC)

16

Coastal Carolina (Big South)

Stony Brook (America East)

Robert Morris (Northeast)

Lehigh (Patriot)

Jackson State (SWAC)


Last Eight In:

Rhode Island

UAB

Louisville

Maryland

Marquette

Cincinnati

William & Mary

Saint Mary’s

First Eight Out:

Charlotte

South Florida

Connecticut

Utah State (if needed)

Florida

Mississippi

Seton Hall

San Diego State

Conference
Breakdown:

Big East: 8

ACC: 7

Big 12: 7

Atlantic 10: 5

Big Ten: 5

Mountain West: 3

SEC: 3

CAA: 2

Conference USA: 2

West Coast: 2

21 one-bid conferences

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