Home » Columns » Currently Reading:

NCAA Tournament Bracket Breakdown: Projected Field 3.0

February 25, 2011 Columns No Comments

With barely two weeks until Selection Sunday, the overall No. 1 seed remains extraordinarily unsettled.

Despite a lot of support for Ohio State, the Bracket Breakdown is rolling with Pittsburgh because of all those excellent wins. Yes, the Buckeyes have one more win against the RPI top 50, eight to Pitt’s seven. However, when you look closer, Pitt’s wins are more impressive.

Of those seven wins, all but one are against teams ranked No. 27 or better in the RPI. Ohio State has only two such wins, against Purdue and Florida. The road win against the Gators is excellent, but Florida wasn’t playing great early in the season, as Central Florida and Jacksonville can attest. In contrast, Pitt has a road win at Georgetown in addition to a neutral court victory against Texas, and the Hoyas and Longhorns have looked consistent most of the season.

Yes, Pitt has three losses while the Buckeyes only have two. But Pitt’s 25-3 record while working through the Big East is more impressive than the Buckeyes’ 26-2 record as a Big Ten team. Pitt still could slip up, which would open the door for Ohio State or Kansas, but the Panthers look to have a slight edge for the overall No. 1 seed.

Let’s get to the brackets. As always, please share your thoughts.

Here are links to the recent projected fields.

Projected Field 2.0
Projected Field 1.0

In addition, take a look at the bracket projections from a whole slew of different sources, updated daily by the good folks at the Bracket Project.

1

Pittsburgh 

Ohio State

Kansas

Texas

2

Notre Dame 

BYU

Duke

San Diego State

3

Florida 

Georgetown

Purdue

Wisconsin

4

Louisville 

St. John’s

Connecticut

Syracuse

5

West Virginia 

North Carolina

Villanova

Arizona

6

Vanderbilt 

Kentucky

Texas A&M

Missouri

7

George Mason (CAA) 

Cincinnati

Xavier (Atlantic 10)

Old Dominion

8

UNLV 

Tennessee

Temple

UCLA

9

Kansas State 

Florida State

Washington

Georgia

10

Utah State (WAC) 

Marquette

Michigan State

Illinois

11

Memphis (Conference USA) 

Minnesota

Butler

Colorado State

12

Virginia Tech vs. Marshall 

Gonzaga (West Coast)

Southern Miss vs. Nebraska

Harvard (Ivy)

13

Missouri State (Missouri Valley) 

Belmont (Atlantic Sun)

Oakland (Summit)

Charleston (Southern)

14

Fairfield (Metro Atlantic) 

Bucknell (Patriot)

Vermont (America East)

Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Horizon)

15

Kent State (MAC) 

Long Beach State (Big West)

Long Island (NEC)

Coastal Carolina (Big South)

16

Montana (Big Sky) 

Florida Atlantic (Sun Belt)

Murray State (Ohio Valley) vs. McNeese State (Southland)

Texas Southern (SWAC) vs. Bethune-Cookman (MEAC)


 

Last Eight In:

Minnesota 

Butler

Colorado State

Virginia Tech

Gonzaga (if needed)

Marshall

Southern Miss

Nebraska

First Eight Out:

Clemson 

Richmond

Dayton

Saint Mary’s

VCU

UAB

Boston College

Penn State

Conference
Breakdown:

Big East: 11 

Big 12: 6

Big Ten: 6

SEC: 5

ACC: 4

Mountain West: 4

Conference USA: 3

Pac-10: 3

Atlantic 10: 2

CAA: 2

Horizon: 2

20 one-bid conferences

Comment on this Article:

Advertisement

Coaching Changes and NBA Draft Early Entrants

The coaching carousel is moving. Keep track of the latest coaching changes right here on Hoopville.

Also, keep track of players who have declared early for the NBA Draft.

Your Phil of Hoops

NC State is not making it easy on themselves

March 1, 2015 by

ncstate

North Carolina State appears to have put themselves in a good position for the NCAA Tournament, but they aren’t making this easy on themselves.

Saturday Notes – February 28, 2015

March 1, 2015 by

author_kasiecki

We look back at a very busy Saturday, one that was full of big games that included some conferences closing out their regular season with plenty of drama.

Saturday Notes – February 21, 2015

February 22, 2015 by

author_kasiecki

A busy Saturday saw a lot of results that shook up conference standings, including a three-way tie developing in one of them, and some at-large hopes took a hit as well.

Hoopville Archives

Phil Kasiecki on Twitter

Recruiting Coverage

2015 Boston Winter Invitational: What to expect

January 23, 2015 by

hoopguy-divisionII

The Boston Winter Invitational is coming up on Sunday at UMass-Boston. Here is a look at some of what to expect in the four prep school games that are on the schedule.

2015 Spalding Hoophall Classic – Monday notes

January 21, 2015 by

hoophall

Monday was the big day despite having just five games, as all were big matchups and most were nationally televised. There was plenty of talent in these games, and some big names played well.

2015 Spalding Hoophall Classic – Sunday notes

January 19, 2015 by

hoophall

It was a bad weather day outside, but fortunately we play the games indoors. Prep schools took center stage on a busy Sunday with some good talent and good games all the way to the end.

2015 Spalding Hoophall Classic – Saturday notes

January 18, 2015 by

hoophall

The Spalding Hoophall Classic picked up on Saturday, with a few good games, a couple of blowouts, then the best game of the day at the end. There was also plenty of good talent in each game.

2015 Hoop Dreams Mag Prep Classic – Sunday notes

January 14, 2015 by

author_kasiecki

Sunday was the day for a trip a little down the road from Saturday’s destination to check out some prep school action. We take a look at some notes from the day’s games in the Hoop Dreams Mag Prep Classic.

2014 Prep School Tour

Missed a recap of an open gym workout? We have them all right here for you.

Sept. 9: Putnam Science Academy
Sept 10: Commonwealth Academy
Sept. 11: St. Andrew's
Sept. 12: Northfield Mount Hermon
Sept. 16: Brewster Academy and Phillips Exeter
Sept. 17: Brooks School
Sept. 21: Holderness School
Sept. 23: St. Thomas More and Marianapolis Prep
Sept. 24: South Kent School and Kent School
Sept. 25: Williston Northampton
Sept. 28: Wilbraham and Monson Academy and Suffield Academy
Sept. 30: New Hampton
Oct. 5: Worcester Academy
Oct. 7: Brimmer and May
Oct. 8: Cushing Academy
Oct. 9: Tilton
Oct. 12: Tabor Academy and Rivers School
Oct. 14: The Master's School
Oct. 16: Vermont Academy

You can also find them all right here.