Home » Columns » Currently Reading:

NCAA Tournament Bracket Breakdown: Projected Field 3.0

February 25, 2011 Columns No Comments

With barely two weeks until Selection Sunday, the overall No. 1 seed remains extraordinarily unsettled.

Despite a lot of support for Ohio State, the Bracket Breakdown is rolling with Pittsburgh because of all those excellent wins. Yes, the Buckeyes have one more win against the RPI top 50, eight to Pitt’s seven. However, when you look closer, Pitt’s wins are more impressive.

Of those seven wins, all but one are against teams ranked No. 27 or better in the RPI. Ohio State has only two such wins, against Purdue and Florida. The road win against the Gators is excellent, but Florida wasn’t playing great early in the season, as Central Florida and Jacksonville can attest. In contrast, Pitt has a road win at Georgetown in addition to a neutral court victory against Texas, and the Hoyas and Longhorns have looked consistent most of the season.

Yes, Pitt has three losses while the Buckeyes only have two. But Pitt’s 25-3 record while working through the Big East is more impressive than the Buckeyes’ 26-2 record as a Big Ten team. Pitt still could slip up, which would open the door for Ohio State or Kansas, but the Panthers look to have a slight edge for the overall No. 1 seed.

Let’s get to the brackets. As always, please share your thoughts.

Here are links to the recent projected fields.

Projected Field 2.0
Projected Field 1.0

In addition, take a look at the bracket projections from a whole slew of different sources, updated daily by the good folks at the Bracket Project.

1

Pittsburgh 

Ohio State

Kansas

Texas

2

Notre Dame 

BYU

Duke

San Diego State

3

Florida 

Georgetown

Purdue

Wisconsin

4

Louisville 

St. John’s

Connecticut

Syracuse

5

West Virginia 

North Carolina

Villanova

Arizona

6

Vanderbilt 

Kentucky

Texas A&M

Missouri

7

George Mason (CAA) 

Cincinnati

Xavier (Atlantic 10)

Old Dominion

8

UNLV 

Tennessee

Temple

UCLA

9

Kansas State 

Florida State

Washington

Georgia

10

Utah State (WAC) 

Marquette

Michigan State

Illinois

11

Memphis (Conference USA) 

Minnesota

Butler

Colorado State

12

Virginia Tech vs. Marshall 

Gonzaga (West Coast)

Southern Miss vs. Nebraska

Harvard (Ivy)

13

Missouri State (Missouri Valley) 

Belmont (Atlantic Sun)

Oakland (Summit)

Charleston (Southern)

14

Fairfield (Metro Atlantic) 

Bucknell (Patriot)

Vermont (America East)

Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Horizon)

15

Kent State (MAC) 

Long Beach State (Big West)

Long Island (NEC)

Coastal Carolina (Big South)

16

Montana (Big Sky) 

Florida Atlantic (Sun Belt)

Murray State (Ohio Valley) vs. McNeese State (Southland)

Texas Southern (SWAC) vs. Bethune-Cookman (MEAC)


 

Last Eight In:

Minnesota 

Butler

Colorado State

Virginia Tech

Gonzaga (if needed)

Marshall

Southern Miss

Nebraska

First Eight Out:

Clemson 

Richmond

Dayton

Saint Mary’s

VCU

UAB

Boston College

Penn State

Conference
Breakdown:

Big East: 11 

Big 12: 6

Big Ten: 6

SEC: 5

ACC: 4

Mountain West: 4

Conference USA: 3

Pac-10: 3

Atlantic 10: 2

CAA: 2

Horizon: 2

20 one-bid conferences

Comment on this Article:

Advertisement

Your Phil of Hoops

Fran Dunphy deals with bubble uncertainty for the first time

March 15, 2015 by

temple

Temple is firmly on the bubble after losing in the American Athletic Conference Tournament to SMU. It’s the first time in head coach Fran Dunphy’s storied career that his team has been in this situation.

It didn’t take Larry Brown long to change SMU

March 15, 2015 by

smu

Larry Brown won’t be the head coach at SMU forever. As such, it’s a good thing he has already turned the program into one that can get better players and possibly win championships.

History shows the challenge ahead of East Carolina

March 14, 2015 by

eastcarolina

East Carolina’s first season in the American Athletic Conference is complete. With that, the challenge they face as shown by their history looks clear, and they may have just the right coach to navigate it.

Hoopville Archives

College Basketball Tonight

Be sure to listen to COLLEGE BASKETBALL TONIGHT, a comprehensive look at the NCAA Tournament hosted by veteran college basketball broadcaster Ted Sarandis, joined by former St. John's and George Washington head coach Mike Jarvis, former Fairfield head coach Terry O'Connor and many great guests, including Hoopville's own Phil Kasiecki.

The show will air on WNYM AM 970 The Answer in New York City from 7-9 p.m. on Selection Sunday, then from 5-7 p.m. each Sunday up to the Final Four. Check here every Sunday evening starting with Selection Sunday, March 15, for a link to the live stream.

Coming up soon: archives of this year's shows.

Coaching Changes and NBA Draft Early Entrants

The coaching carousel is moving. Keep track of the latest coaching changes right here on Hoopville.

Also, keep track of players who have declared early for the NBA Draft.

Phil Kasiecki on Twitter

Recruiting Coverage

2015 Boston Winter Invitational: What to expect

January 23, 2015 by

hoopguy-divisionII

The Boston Winter Invitational is coming up on Sunday at UMass-Boston. Here is a look at some of what to expect in the four prep school games that are on the schedule.

2015 Spalding Hoophall Classic – Monday notes

January 21, 2015 by

hoophall

Monday was the big day despite having just five games, as all were big matchups and most were nationally televised. There was plenty of talent in these games, and some big names played well.

2015 Spalding Hoophall Classic – Sunday notes

January 19, 2015 by

hoophall

It was a bad weather day outside, but fortunately we play the games indoors. Prep schools took center stage on a busy Sunday with some good talent and good games all the way to the end.

2015 Spalding Hoophall Classic – Saturday notes

January 18, 2015 by

hoophall

The Spalding Hoophall Classic picked up on Saturday, with a few good games, a couple of blowouts, then the best game of the day at the end. There was also plenty of good talent in each game.

2015 Hoop Dreams Mag Prep Classic – Sunday notes

January 14, 2015 by

author_kasiecki

Sunday was the day for a trip a little down the road from Saturday’s destination to check out some prep school action. We take a look at some notes from the day’s games in the Hoop Dreams Mag Prep Classic.