Home » Columns » Currently Reading:

NCAA Tournament Bracket Breakdown: Projected Field 3.0

February 25, 2011 Columns No Comments

With barely two weeks until Selection Sunday, the overall No. 1 seed remains extraordinarily unsettled.

Despite a lot of support for Ohio State, the Bracket Breakdown is rolling with Pittsburgh because of all those excellent wins. Yes, the Buckeyes have one more win against the RPI top 50, eight to Pitt’s seven. However, when you look closer, Pitt’s wins are more impressive.

Of those seven wins, all but one are against teams ranked No. 27 or better in the RPI. Ohio State has only two such wins, against Purdue and Florida. The road win against the Gators is excellent, but Florida wasn’t playing great early in the season, as Central Florida and Jacksonville can attest. In contrast, Pitt has a road win at Georgetown in addition to a neutral court victory against Texas, and the Hoyas and Longhorns have looked consistent most of the season.

Yes, Pitt has three losses while the Buckeyes only have two. But Pitt’s 25-3 record while working through the Big East is more impressive than the Buckeyes’ 26-2 record as a Big Ten team. Pitt still could slip up, which would open the door for Ohio State or Kansas, but the Panthers look to have a slight edge for the overall No. 1 seed.

Let’s get to the brackets. As always, please share your thoughts.

Here are links to the recent projected fields.

Projected Field 2.0
Projected Field 1.0

In addition, take a look at the bracket projections from a whole slew of different sources, updated daily by the good folks at the Bracket Project.

1

Pittsburgh 

Ohio State

Kansas

Texas

2

Notre Dame 

BYU

Duke

San Diego State

3

Florida 

Georgetown

Purdue

Wisconsin

4

Louisville 

St. John’s

Connecticut

Syracuse

5

West Virginia 

North Carolina

Villanova

Arizona

6

Vanderbilt 

Kentucky

Texas A&M

Missouri

7

George Mason (CAA) 

Cincinnati

Xavier (Atlantic 10)

Old Dominion

8

UNLV 

Tennessee

Temple

UCLA

9

Kansas State 

Florida State

Washington

Georgia

10

Utah State (WAC) 

Marquette

Michigan State

Illinois

11

Memphis (Conference USA) 

Minnesota

Butler

Colorado State

12

Virginia Tech vs. Marshall 

Gonzaga (West Coast)

Southern Miss vs. Nebraska

Harvard (Ivy)

13

Missouri State (Missouri Valley) 

Belmont (Atlantic Sun)

Oakland (Summit)

Charleston (Southern)

14

Fairfield (Metro Atlantic) 

Bucknell (Patriot)

Vermont (America East)

Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Horizon)

15

Kent State (MAC) 

Long Beach State (Big West)

Long Island (NEC)

Coastal Carolina (Big South)

16

Montana (Big Sky) 

Florida Atlantic (Sun Belt)

Murray State (Ohio Valley) vs. McNeese State (Southland)

Texas Southern (SWAC) vs. Bethune-Cookman (MEAC)


 

Last Eight In:

Minnesota 

Butler

Colorado State

Virginia Tech

Gonzaga (if needed)

Marshall

Southern Miss

Nebraska

First Eight Out:

Clemson 

Richmond

Dayton

Saint Mary’s

VCU

UAB

Boston College

Penn State

Conference
Breakdown:

Big East: 11 

Big 12: 6

Big Ten: 6

SEC: 5

ACC: 4

Mountain West: 4

Conference USA: 3

Pac-10: 3

Atlantic 10: 2

CAA: 2

Horizon: 2

20 one-bid conferences

Comment on this Article:

Like Hoopville on Facebook

Advertisement


Your Phil of Hoops

What Kentucky gave us will be forgotten, and that’s too bad

April 5, 2015 by

kentucky

Most people are going to remember Kentucky in 2014-15 more for the one loss than the 38 wins and the journey that came with it. That’s the most unfortunate thing of all.

A happy resolution comes in Delaware

April 1, 2015 by

delaware

There has finally been a resolution to Monte Ross’ contract situation, and it’s a happy one for the Blue Hens’ head coach and his staff after the work they have done to rebuild the program.

Fran Dunphy deals with bubble uncertainty for the first time

March 15, 2015 by

temple

Temple is firmly on the bubble after losing in the American Athletic Conference Tournament to SMU. It’s the first time in head coach Fran Dunphy’s storied career that his team has been in this situation.

Hoopville Archives

Coaching Changes and NBA Draft Early Entrants

The coaching carousel is moving. Keep track of the latest coaching changes right here on Hoopville.

Also, keep track of players who have declared early for the NBA Draft.

College Basketball Tonight

We hope you enjoyed listening to COLLEGE BASKETBALL TONIGHT, a comprehensive look at the NCAA Tournament hosted by veteran college basketball broadcaster Ted Sarandis, joined by former St. John's and George Washington head coach Mike Jarvis, former Fairfield head coach Terry O'Connor and many great guests, including Hoopville's own Phil Kasiecki.

Here are links to the shows:

March 15, 2015 - First hour | Second hour

March 22, 2015 - First hour | Second hour

March 29, 2015 - First hour | Second hour

April 5, 2015 - First hour | Second hour | Third hour

Phil Kasiecki on Twitter

Recruiting Coverage

2015 Hoopville Spring Finale Notes

June 30, 2015 by

hoopguy-divisionII

We look back at more from the 2015 Hoopville Spring Finale, where some of the championship games were worth the price of admission.

A big championship day for a local program at the Hoopville Spring Finale

June 23, 2015 by

hoopguy-yellow

The 2015 Hoopville Spring Finale saw a number of good championship games on Sunday to close it out, and we start our look back with a look at those games.

Player highlights from Mass Elite and Boston Warriors college showcase

June 4, 2015 by

hoopguy-cyan

Two big programs, Mass Elite and the Boston Warriors, got together once again on a college showcase for many of their high school players. We look at some who stood out on the evening.

2015 Massachusetts AAU Tournament notes

June 3, 2015 by

author_kasiecki

Massachusetts held its AAU championship rounds in a few age groups and its entire tournament for the oldest age group this weekend. We take a look at some of Sunday’s action in Foxboro.

adidas Gauntlet Indianapolis – Sunday notes

April 29, 2015 by

adidasuprising

Sunday was the conclusion of the adidas Gauntlet Indianapolis, and we take a look at some of the players who shined on a day that saw a few games that weren’t very competitive.