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ACC player ratings: In search of this year’s Kemba Walker

About this time last season, Connecticut faltered after a 20-5 start, ending the regular season with four losses in five games.

Heading into the Big East Tournament, many observers figured the Huskies would be short-lived in both that tourney and the NCAA Tournament. Then Kemba did his thing.

With Kemba Walker leading the charge, UConn shook off its inconsistent play and locked down opponents on defense while giving Walker just enough support. And with Kemba averaging nearly 25 points and five assists during the team’s final 11-game winning streak, the Huskies needed only a handful of players to have good nights to keep things rolling.

Could anyone in the ACC step up and pull off a Kemba en route to a deep tournament run? Perhaps.

I haven’t revisited the Total Impact Quotient player ratings in a few weeks, but I’m pulling out the player ratings for ACC players to identify some potential impact players during the next month and a half. Some of the names are the ones you’d expect to see while others might be a surprise.

      • Mike Scott, Virginia. No surprise here, right? The frontrunner for ACC Player of the Year continues to rank as the ACC’s best player. He’s got a TIQ of 36.0 points per 40 minutes. That’s because Scott is a ridiculously efficient player, averaging 17.2 points per game on 59 percent shooting from the field. He’s good at the line to boot, with an 82 percent free throw rate. It can’t be overstated how impressive these stats are for a guy playing on super-slow Virginia. If Scott and the Cavs played at North Carolina’s pace, he’d be averaging close to 21 points per game. Good luck trying to stop Scott in the NCAA Tournament, especially when his supporting cast is knocking down 3-pointers.
      • Harrison Barnes, North Carolina. When it comes to the Tar Heels, Kendall Marshall is the obvious choice for team MVP. And rightfully so for a guy averaging nearly 10 assists per game but only three turnovers per game. However, Barnes is the guy who take over a game by lighting up the scoreboard. In addition to shooting 47 percent from the field and 43 percent from 3-point range, Barnes works hard to collect loose rebounds. He’s third on the team with 56 offensive rebounds, only 22 behind John Henson in that category. Barnes gets to the line, grabs rebounds, hits 3-pointers and generally makes life difficult on opponents. He has the talent to give North Carolina a Kemba-like boost en route to a title. Given his quiet demeanor, such an outburst might come as a surprise to some, but now you know to look out. Not surprisingly, Barnes already ranks among the ACC’s best in the TIQ at 30.4 points per 40 minutes.
      • Lorenzo Brown, NC State. Surprise! There’s a Wolfpack on this list. NC State remains on the bubble to even reach the NCAA Tournament right now. But if the Wolfpack can make a late push into the tournament, Brown will have to play a big part of that run. He’s a bona fide stat stuffer on a team that lacks a go-to guy. With 12.1 points, 4.3 rebounds, 6.5 assists and 1.7 steals per game, Brown does a little of everything. Coach Mark Gottfried needs Brown to orchestrate an offense that has been underwhelming lately despite possessing plenty of talent. Brown needs to be selective in attacking the basket or looking for his own shot while setting up the team’s sharpshooter, Scott Wood, and feeding the Wolfpack’s talented wings and big men: the C.J.s (Leslie and Williams) and Richard Howell. Brown is fourth in the ACC in TIQ right now at 32.1 points per 40 minutes.
      • Quinn Cook, Duke.I’m entering the ridiculously deep sleeper territory here. But Cook has been one of the steadiest hands on Duke this season, despite a knee injury that has limited his play in recent weeks. Since Cook’s injury against Wake Forest, Austin Rivers has been averaging 37 minutes per game while Cook is playing less than 10 minutes per game. Rivers has been unstoppable at times this season, but he’s not a pure play-maker, evidenced by his 57 assists to 62 turnovers. In comparison, Cook almost never turns the ball over, only 15 times in more than 300 minutes this season, a pace of about 1.9 turnovers per 40 minutes. That’s almost half of Rivers’ 2.9 turnovers per 40 minutes. Besides ball security, Cook is also excellent at attacking the rim, and he gets to the line about once for every two shot attempts. Before the injury, Cook was better than a 47 percent shooter from the field. He’s struggling through an 8-of-30 stretch, but if he can get back to speed, watch out. Despite this cold spell, Cook ranks as a top 10 player in the TIQ at 30.0 points per 40 minutes. Of course, his real impact per game is far less because he plays sparingly. But if health allows, Cook is the kind of guy who could be a dominant sixth man, sparking this Duke team to a run when many are predicting the Blue Devils to falter earlier than their seed would dictate.

So how does everyone else stack up in the ACC? Here’s a team-by-team list of players and their TIQ ratings, sorted by the percent of minutes played this season.

Team Year Position Player TIQ/ 40 Min. % Minutes Played Real TIQ / Game
Boston College Jr. G Matthew Humphrey 16.6 74.7 12.4
Boston College Fr. F Ryan Anderson 22.4 71.4 16.0
Boston College Fr. G Lonnie Jackson 17.8 66.4 11.8
Boston College Fr. C Dennis Clifford 18.7 65.4 12.2
Boston College Fr. G Jordan Daniels 17.3 58.3 10.1
Boston College Fr. G Patrick Heckmann 19.8 40.2 8.0
Boston College So. G Gabriel Moton 14.2 38.4 5.4
Boston College Sr. G John Cahill 13.0 31.9 4.1
Boston College Fr. C KC Caudill 12.9 21.6 2.8
Boston College Fr. F Eddie Odio 12.7 12.9 1.6
Boston College So. G Danny Rubin 11.1 11.5 1.3
Clemson Sr. G Andre Young 25.9 86.0 22.3
Clemson Sr. G Tanner Smith 29.3 80.6 23.6
Clemson Jr. F Devin Booker 25.8 71.0 18.3
Clemson Jr. F Milton Jennings 22.2 56.6 12.6
Clemson Fr. G Rod Hall 15.6 44.8 7.0
Clemson Fr. G T.J. Sapp 14.3 42.7 6.1
Clemson Sr. F Bryan Narcisse 16.4 36.4 6.0
Clemson Sr. C Catalin Baciu 21.3 26.6 5.7
Clemson Fr. G K.J. McDaniels 20.6 23.8 4.9
Clemson Fr. F Bernard Sullivan 10.1 17.4 1.8
Clemson Fr. G Devin Coleman 13.7 13.4 1.8
Duke Fr. G Austin Rivers 22.9 80.1 18.4
Duke Jr. G Seth Curry 25.5 73.6 18.8
Duke Jr. F Mason Plumlee 30.0 72.1 21.7
Duke Jr. F Ryan Kelly 27.7 62.9 17.5
Duke Jr. G Andre Dawkins 18.4 59.9 11.1
Duke So. G Tyler Thornton 18.1 46.7 8.5
Duke Sr. F Miles Plumlee 27.9 46.2 12.9
Duke Fr. G Quinn Cook 30.0 29.7 8.9
Duke So. F Josh Hairston 17.7 17.7 3.1
Duke Fr. F Michael Gbinije 17.3 10.1 1.8
Florida State Jr. G Michael Snaer 24.1 74.0 17.8
Florida State Sr. C Bernard James 25.8 67.0 17.3
Florida State Sr. G Luke Loucks 24.2 66.1 16.0
Florida State Sr. G Deividas Dulkys 18.4 58.8 10.8
Florida State So. F Okaro White 20.4 56.6 11.6
Florida State Sr. C Xavier Gibson 22.9 45.8 10.5
Florida State Sr. G Jeff Peterson 18.6 39.0 7.2
Florida State So. G Ian Miller 22.2 33.2 7.4
Florida State Sr. C Jon Kreft 18.2 27.1 4.9
Florida State Fr. G Terry Whisnant II 20.2 17.3 3.5
Florida State Jr. F Terrance Shannon 28.1 11.5 3.2
Georgia Tech Jr. G Mfon Udofia 19.6 78.1 15.3
Georgia Tech So. C Daniel Miller 24.8 74.2 18.4
Georgia Tech So. G Brandon Reed 17.5 62.4 10.9
Georgia Tech Jr. G Glen Rice Jr. 30.4 60.1 18.2
Georgia Tech So. G Jason Morris 17.9 60.1 10.8
Georgia Tech So. F Kammeon Holsey 22.1 57.7 12.8
Georgia Tech Fr. F Julian Royal 17.7 38.1 6.7
Georgia Tech Sr. G Pierre Jordan 14.0 26.3 3.7
Georgia Tech Sr. G Nick Foreman 11.7 23.0 2.7
Georgia Tech So. F Nate Hicks 16.9 16.7 2.8
Maryland So. G Terrell Stoglin 28.7 80.2 23.0
Maryland Sr. F Sean Mosley 21.0 78.8 16.5
Maryland Fr. G Nick Faust 19.0 66.4 12.6
Maryland Jr. F James Padgett 21.6 58.0 12.5
Maryland Fr. F Ashton Pankey 18.8 51.5 9.7
Maryland So. G Pe’Shon Howard 17.5 43.9 7.7
Maryland So. G Mychal Parker 17.9 43.8 7.8
Maryland Fr. C Alex Len 20.9 31.5 6.6
Maryland Sr. C Berend Weijs 14.3 28.4 4.1
Miami Jr. G Durand Scott 27.7 82.6 22.9
Miami Sr. G Malcolm Grant 19.9 68.7 13.7
Miami So. C Kenny Kadji 26.5 64.2 17.0
Miami Fr. G Shane Larkin 22.0 59.1 13.0
Miami Jr. G Trey McKinney Jones 21.2 59.1 12.6
Miami Jr. C Reggie Johnson 29.6 42.4 12.6
Miami So. G Rion Brown 18.1 40.5 7.3
Miami So. F Erik Swoope 16.3 25.0 4.1
Miami Sr. F DeQuan Jones 22.5 23.5 5.3
Miami Jr. G Garrius Adams 19.4 22.2 4.3
Miami So. F Raphael Akpejiori 18.9 12.1 2.3
North Carolina So. G Kendall Marshall 31.2 80.9 25.3
North Carolina Jr. F John Henson 33.0 73.2 24.2
North Carolina So. F Harrison Barnes 30.4 68.7 20.9
North Carolina Sr. C Tyler Zeller 35.1 67.6 23.7
North Carolina So. G Reggie Bullock 22.6 56.9 12.9
North Carolina Jr. G Dexter Strickland 19.9 42.7 8.5
North Carolina Fr. F James Michael McAdoo 22.7 34.4 7.8
North Carolina Fr. G P.J. Hairston 25.9 31.5 8.2
North Carolina Sr. F Justin Watts 15.9 15.6 2.5
North Carolina State So. G Lorenzo Brown 32.1 83.5 26.8
North Carolina State Sr. F C.J. Williams 23.0 77.7 17.9
North Carolina State Jr. G Scott Wood 20.9 77.2 16.2
North Carolina State Jr. F Richard Howell 29.5 67.2 19.8
North Carolina State So. F C.J. Leslie 28.2 60.9 17.2
North Carolina State Jr. F DeShawn Painter 20.4 50.7 10.3
North Carolina State Sr. G Alex Johnson 23.0 49.2 11.3
North Carolina State Fr. F Tyler Harris 17.0 11.1 1.9
Virginia Sr. F Mike Scott 36.0 76.1 27.3
Virginia So. G Joe Harris 24.4 73.8 18.0
Virginia Jr. G Jontel Evans 21.9 73.5 16.1
Virginia Sr. G Sammy Zeglinski 21.5 71.9 15.5
Virginia Fr. G Malcolm Brogdon 20.2 56.5 11.4
Virginia So. F Akil Mitchell 19.2 52.5 10.1
Virginia Sr. C Assane Sene 17.2 34.1 5.9
Virginia So. G K.T. Harrell 13.0 20.0 2.6
Virginia Fr. F Darion Atkins 26.3 19.6 5.2
Virginia Tech Jr. G Erick Green 28.4 79.1 22.4
Virginia Tech Sr. G Dorenzo Hudson 21.0 70.8 14.8
Virginia Tech Fr. F Dorian Finney-Smith 21.6 70.4 15.2
Virginia Tech So. F Jarell Eddie 24.5 68.4 16.7
Virginia Tech Fr. G Robert Brown 21.4 56.0 12.0
Virginia Tech Sr. F Victor Davila 21.0 52.7 11.1
Virginia Tech So. F Cadarian Raines 24.5 39.5 9.7
Virginia Tech Fr. F C.J. Barksdale 22.0 28.5 6.3
Virginia Tech Fr. G Marquis Rankin 16.7 23.7 4.0
Wake Forest So. F Travis McKie 23.2 86.7 20.1
Wake Forest Jr. G C.J. Harris 23.8 84.3 20.1
Wake Forest So. G Tony Chennault 19.7 74.4 14.7
Wake Forest Fr. G Chase Fischer 14.9 67.5 10.1
Wake Forest Sr. F Nikita Mescheriakov 16.4 63.4 10.4
Wake Forest So. C Carson Desrosiers 18.8 52.4 9.9
Wake Forest Sr. C Ty Walker 20.2 33.6 6.8
Wake Forest Fr. G Anthony Fields 11.6 19.2 2.2
Wake Forest Fr. F Daniel Green 13.3 14.5 1.9

 

 

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